Actual Crate Chances

[blackbird625]

Hello, everyone! One thing with the crates seems a bit off, and you do not need to be a mathematician to figure it out. The percentages do not add up to 100%! In other words, the percentages are not accurate at all. However, they are proportional to one another, so the real percentages can easily be figured out. I'll do all the math for you to give you very accurate chances for each outcome.

Percentages are not exact; they are rounded to two places to be accurate but not overwhelmingly long. In the four cases that they are exact, they are not rounded in any way.

Voters Vault
Total percent indicated in-game: 145%​

Actual chances:
1x Goodie Box Key: 3.45%
10x Peppermint Poppers: 3.45%
5x T2 Marshmallows: 3.45%
5x T2 Lollipops: 3.45%
5x T2 Bonbons: 3.45%
5x T2 Nerds: 3.45%
5x T2 Laffy Taffy: 3.45%
15x T1 Marshmallows: 6.90%
15x T1 Lollipops: 6.90%
15x T1 Bonbons: 6.90%
15x T1 Nerds: 6.90%
15x T1 Laffy Taffy: 6.90%
1x Muncher helmet (Protection/Unbreaking 7): 10.35%
1x Muncher chestplate: 10.35%
1x Muncher leggings: 10.35%
1x Muncher boots: 10.35%

Bonus Box
Total percent indicated in-game: 50%
​

Actual chances:
1x Goodie Box Key: 40%
1x Cookie Jar Key: 30%
1x Choco Trunk Key: 20%
1x Chunky Chest Key: 10%

Goodie Box
Total percent indicated in-game: 185%
​

Actual chances:
$50,000: 8.11%
$150,000: 5.41%
$400,000: 2.70%
$1,000,000: 1.35%
250x eTokens: 8.11%
400x eTokens: 5.41%
500x eTokens: 2.70%
800x eTokens: 1.35%
1x Gobbler helmet (Protection/Unbreaking 8): 8.11%
1x Gobbler chestplate: 8.11%
1x Gobbler leggings: 8.11%
1x Gobbler boots: 8.11%
1x Muncher kit: 5.41%
2x Cookie Jar Keys: 1.35%
10x Peppermint Poppers: 10.81%
10x Bubblegum Bombs: 8.11%
10x Gummy Grenades: 2.70%
10x Toffee Torpedos: 2.70%
10x Hershey Hurricanes: 1.35%

Cookie Jar
Total percent indicated in-game: 185%
​

Actual chances:
$400,000: 8.11%
$600,000: 5.41%
$900,000: 2.70%
$2,000,000: 1.35%
500x eTokens: 8.11%
750x eTokens: 5.41%
1,000x eTokens: 2.70%
1,500x eTokens: 1.35%
1x Chomper helmet (Protection/Unbreaking 9): 8.11%
1x Chomper chestplate: 8.11%
1x Chomper leggings: 8.11%
1x Chomper boots: 8.11%
1x Hoarder kit: 5.41%
2x Choco Trunk Keys: 1.35%
15x Peppermint Poppers: 10.81%
15x Bubblegum Bombs: 8.11%
15x Gummy Grenades: 2.70%
15x Toffee Torpedos: 2.70%
15x Hershey Hurricanes: 1.35%

Choco Trunk
Total percent indicated in-game: 185%
​

Actual chances:
$25,000,000: 8.11%
$75,000,000: 5.41%
$100,000,000: 2.70%
$250,000,000: 1.35%
1,000x eTokens: 8.11%
1,500x eTokens: 5.41%
2,000x eTokens: 2.70%
2,500x eTokens: 1.35%
1x Hoarder helmet (Protection/Unbreaking 10): 8.11%
1x Hoarder chestplate: 8.11%
1x Hoarder leggings: 8.11%
1x Hoarder boots: 8.11%
1x Destroyer kit: 5.41%
2x Chunky Chest Keys: 1.35%
20x Peppermint Poppers: 10.81%
20x Bubblegum Bombs: 8.11%
20x Gummy Grenades: 2.70%
20x Toffee Torpedos: 2.70%
20x Hershey Hurricanes: 1.35%

Chunky Chest
Total percent indicated in-game: 176.5%
​

Actual chances:
$350,000,000: 8.50%
$600,000,000: 5.67%
$800,000,000: 2.83%
$1,000,000,000: 1.42%
2,000x eTokens: 8.50%
2,500x eTokens: 5.67%
3,000x eTokens: 2.83%
3,500x eTokens: 1.42%
5x Chunky Chest Keys: 1.42%
1x Destroyer kit: 5.67%
30x Peppermint Poppers: 11.33%
30x Bubblegum Bombs: 8.50%
30x Gummy Grenades: 2.83%
30x Toffee Torpedos: 2.83%
30x Hershey Hurricanes: 1.42%
Access to /fly: 1.42%
Access to /repair: 1.42%
Access to /sellall: 0.85%

Change log:
2/20/17 (hours later): Added key adjectives for those with short-term memory loss (...indicated in-game)
2/20/17: Tutorial created

 

[Mutah]

Bonus Box
Total percent: 50%
​

Actual chances:
1x Goodie Box Key: 40%
1x Cookie Jar Key: 30%
1x Choco Trunk Key: 20%
1x Chunky Chest Key: 10%

adds up to 100% wtf school are you learning this from? lmao learn to add

 

[NotDuck]

You dont need to write an esay to get your point across

 

[Owl]

Hello, everyone! One thing with the crates seems a bit off, and you do not need to be a mathematician to figure it out. The percentages do not add up to 100%! In other words, the percentages are not accurate at all. However, they are proportional to one another, so the real percentages can easily be figured out. I'll do all the math for you to give you very accurate chances for each outcome.

Percentages are not exact; they are rounded to two places to be accurate but not overwhelmingly long. In the four cases that they are exact, they are not rounded in any way.

Voters Vault
Total percent: 145%​

Actual chances:
1x Goodie Box Key: 3.45%
10x Peppermint Poppers: 3.45%
5x T2 Marshmallows: 3.45%
5x T2 Lollipops: 3.45%
5x T2 Bonbons: 3.45%
5x T2 Nerds: 3.45%
5x T2 Laffy Taffy: 3.45%
15x T1 Marshmallows: 6.90%
15x T1 Lollipops: 6.90%
15x T1 Bonbons: 6.90%
15x T1 Nerds: 6.90%
15x T1 Laffy Taffy: 6.90%
1x Muncher helmet (Protection/Unbreaking 7): 10.35%
1x Muncher chestplate: 10.35%
1x Muncher leggings: 10.35%
1x Muncher boots: 10.35%

Bonus Box
Total percent: 50%
​

Actual chances:
1x Goodie Box Key: 40%
1x Cookie Jar Key: 30%
1x Choco Trunk Key: 20%
1x Chunky Chest Key: 10%

Goodie Box
Total percent: 185%
​

Actual chances:
$50,000: 8.11%
$150,000: 5.41%
$400,000: 2.70%
$1,000,000: 1.35%
250x eTokens: 8.11%
400x eTokens: 5.41%
500x eTokens: 2.70%
800x eTokens: 1.35%
1x Gobbler helmet (Protection/Unbreaking 8): 8.11%
1x Gobbler chestplate: 8.11%
1x Gobbler leggings: 8.11%
1x Gobbler boots: 8.11%
1x Muncher kit: 5.41%
2x Cookie Jar Keys: 1.35%
10x Peppermint Poppers: 10.81%
10x Bubblegum Bombs: 8.11%
10x Gummy Grenades: 2.70%
10x Toffee Torpedos: 2.70%
10x Hershey Hurricanes: 1.35%

Cookie Jar
Total percent: 185%
​

Actual chances:
$400,000: 8.11%
$600,000: 5.41%
$900,000: 2.70%
$2,000,000: 1.35%
500x eTokens: 8.11%
750x eTokens: 5.41%
1,000x eTokens: 2.70%
1,500x eTokens: 1.35%
1x Chomper helmet (Protection/Unbreaking 9): 8.11%
1x Chomper chestplate: 8.11%
1x Chomper leggings: 8.11%
1x Chomper boots: 8.11%
1x Hoarder kit: 5.41%
2x Choco Trunk Keys: 1.35%
15x Peppermint Poppers: 10.81%
15x Bubblegum Bombs: 8.11%
15x Gummy Grenades: 2.70%
15x Toffee Torpedos: 2.70%
15x Hershey Hurricanes: 1.35%

Choco Trunk
Total percent: 185%
​

Actual chances:
$25,000,000: 8.11%
$75,000,000: 5.41%
$100,000,000: 2.70%
$250,000,000: 1.35%
1,000x eTokens: 8.11%
1,500x eTokens: 5.41%
2,000x eTokens: 2.70%
2,500x eTokens: 1.35%
1x Hoarder helmet (Protection/Unbreaking 10): 8.11%
1x Hoarder chestplate: 8.11%
1x Hoarder leggings: 8.11%
1x Hoarder boots: 8.11%
1x Destroyer kit: 5.41%
2x Chunky Chest Keys: 1.35%
20x Peppermint Poppers: 10.81%
20x Bubblegum Bombs: 8.11%
20x Gummy Grenades: 2.70%
20x Toffee Torpedos: 2.70%
20x Hershey Hurricanes: 1.35%

Chunky Chest
Total percent: 176.5%
​

Actual chances:
$350,000,000: 8.50%
$600,000,000: 5.67%
$800,000,000: 2.83%
$1,000,000,000: 1.42%
2,000x eTokens: 8.50%
2,500x eTokens: 5.67%
3,000x eTokens: 2.83%
3,500x eTokens: 1.42%
5x Chunky Chest Keys: 1.42%
1x Destroyer kit: 5.67%
30x Peppermint Poppers: 11.33%
30x Bubblegum Bombs: 8.50%
30x Gummy Grenades: 2.83%
30x Toffee Torpedos: 2.83%
30x Hershey Hurricanes: 1.42%
Access to /fly: 1.42%
Access to /repair: 1.42%
Access to /sellall: 0.85%

There not supposed to equal 100 it's just your chances to get it, it's like not that hard to understand

 

[blackbird625]

adds up to 100% wtf school are you learning this from? lmao learn to add

Looking at the Bonus Box:
The percentages indicated add to 50%, which isn't the full 100%.
The actual percentages are your chances of getting X item.

You dont need to write an esay to get your point across

If you think that this thread is an essay, I'm concerned.

There not supposed to equal 100 it's just your chances to get it, it's like not that hard to understand

You're just saying that the in-game percentages are lies. Based on what you're saying, if you have a 1.5% chance of getting /sellall from a Chunky Chest, you'd be lying to yourself because that's a 1.5 out of 176.5 chance, which is 0.0085. (That's 0.85%.)

 

[Mutah]

Looking at the Bonus Box:
The percentages indicated add to 50%, which isn't the full 100%.
The actual percentages are your chances of getting X item.


If you think that this thread is an essay, I'm concerned.


You're just saying that the in-game percentages are lies. Based on what you're saying, if you have a 1.5% chance of getting /sell all from a Chunky Chest, you'd be lying to yourself because that's a 1.5 out of 176.5 chance, which is 0.0085. (That's 0.85%.)

I guess since you clearly understand how these work I will explain it to you. YOUR WELCOME!!!!!!!!!!!!! I'm just gonna use the Bonus Box for example. If you open 100 Bonus Box keys you will not get 40 Goodie Boxes Key, 30 Cookie Keys, 20 Choco keys, and 10 Chunky Keys. You have a 40% chance to get Goodies keys. So actually you can get all 100 of your key to be Goodie box keys. I also doubt that you have actually even open 10+ Chunky keys which makes me think that you are just guessing on the percentages. The box percentages are correct, you were just not smart enough to actually do research. Please, next time does your research before you post something that contains mostly lies/made up guesses.

There not supposed to equal 100 it's just your chances to get it, it's like not that hard to understand

Did it for him so he can understands what is it, not what he thinks.

 

[blackbird625]

I also doubt that you have actually even open 10+ Chunky keys which makes me think that you are just guessing on the percentages. The box percentages are correct, you were just not smart enough to actually do research. Please, next time does your research before you post something that contains mostly lies/made up guesses.

It's called basic, sixth-grade math. Because the "chance values" (we'll call it that because you don't have enough brain cells to understand the point of the thread) add to 176.5 on the Chunky Chest, it means that the percentages indicated within the crate are larger than they really are. We'll take the Peppermint Poppers:

20.0 chance / 176.5 total = 0.1133 --> 11.33%. (Percentages are done as chance divided by 100, so you have a 11.33 chance out of 100.)

Please, next time, do your math before blindly saying that it's a lie if you don't understand it.

 

[Mutah]

lmao im done with this I'm not gonna explain to some dumb kid who thinks that this is helping people but it really isn't. As I've said before

The box percentages are correct

and they are so I'm done explaining something to a 2 year old. And why would the admins lie about the things you can buy from the store the admins/dev know what they were doing when they made this. l8r nerd bye





also big waste of time to d this it helps nothing.

 

[blackbird625]

lmao im done with this I'm not gonna explain to some dumb kid who thinks that this is helping people but it really isn't. As I've said before
and they are so I'm done explaining something to a 2 year old. Bye

Your profile says that you are 14, which means that you are most likely either in 8th or 9th grade. It seems that you forgot what proportions were, which you learned in either 6th or 7th grade, but those left your brain without a trace.

If you see anything wrong, be the bigger man here and actively try to fix any mistakes that you see, and avoid stooping to low levels to insult others. You are also so adamant that you are correct because you do not understand 6th grade math. Where is the logic in that?

Because I should avoid losing any more brain cells over this pathetic excuse of a conversation, I am ignoring you to avoid developing brain cancer.

 

[DabOnThem]

Your profile says that you are 14, which means that you are most likely either in 8th or 9th grade. It seems that you forgot what proportions were, which you learned in either 6th or 7th grade, but those left your brain without a trace.

If you see anything wrong, be the bigger man here and actively try to fix any mistakes that you see, and avoid stooping to low levels to insult others. You are also so adamant that you are correct because you do not understand 6th grade math. Where is the logic in that?

Because I should avoid losing any more brain cells over this pathetic excuse of a conversation, I am ignoring you to keep my brain cells intact.

He was trying to explain it nicley to you but you came in and were kind me to him. But I do have to agree with him, also I see no mistakes in which he explains. This thread is kinda useless for people and f I think it need to be lock to prevent flame wars. He was only trying to help by pointing out the mistakes he found in your artical.

I guess since you clearly understand how these work I will explain it to you. YOUR WELCOME!!!!!!!!!!!!! I'm just gonna use the Bonus Box for example. If you open 100 Bonus Box keys you will not get 40 Goodie Boxes Key, 30 Cookie Keys, 20 Choco keys, and 10 Chunky Keys. You have a 40% chance to get Goodies keys. So actually you can get all 100 of your key to be Goodie box keys. I also doubt that you have actually even open 10+ Chunky keys which makes me think that you are just guessing on the percentages. The box percentages are correct, you were just not smart enough to actually do research. Please, next time does your research before you post something that contains mostly lies/made up guesses.

This explained it very well for me and helped me understand it more than yours.
Please do not come back at me or say anything rude about me or this person. Some people only want to help people in the world and some hate when others do that. @Chrissehh @Chimerical requesting lock due to flame wars may start.

 

[blackbird625]

He was trying to explain it nicley to you but you came in and were kind me to him. But I do have to agree with him, also I see no mistakes in which he explains. This thread is kinda useless for people and f I think it need to be lock to prevent flame wars. He was only trying to help by pointing out the mistakes he found in your artical.

Mistakes where? You claim that there were mistakes, but you did not point out any. Your claim has nothing to support it.

 

[DabOnThem]

I asked you to not comment back to me. thanks for ignoring it tho... but if you want me backing up what he said. here ya go...

why would the admins lie about the things you can buy from the store the admins/dev know what they were doing when they made this.

the devs would not make something that is a lie. It is(i think) against EULA to not put what it actually is and put a fake/deceitful information in there.

20.0 chance / 176.5 total = 0.1133 --> 11.33%. (Percentages are done as chance divided by 100, so you have a 11.33% chance out of 100.)

20% chance to get the Minebomb means you have a 20% chance to get that out of a crate. Not 11.33% like you "claim". 20% MEANS 20% I honestly have no clue where you are getting 11.33% from.

Because I should avoid losing any more brain cells over this pathetic excuse of a conversation, I am ignoring you to avoid developing brain cancer.

Only point out mistakes he found and thinks they need to be fixed. Also, cancer is a topic that you should avoid here because it can offend some people(like me) because I hate people that use "Cancer" casual word. You can't lose brain cells to something like this too.....

short-term memory loss

that's really really rude to someone that I know has had a concussion before and has lost a key part to their memory(saw that he was talking about it in chat one day).

also big waste of time to d this it helps nothing.

Correct my good sir.

There not supposed to equal 100 it's just your chances to get it, it's like not that hard to understand

Since he didn't explain it @Mutah did for you very clearly.

If you open 100 Bonus Box keys you will not get 40 Goodie Boxes Key, 30 Cookie Keys, 20 Choco keys, and 10 Chunky Keys. You have a 40% chance to get Goodies keys. So actually you can get all 100 of your key to be Goodie box keys.

There you go. I gave you some mistakes pointed out and backed them up w/ evidence.


PLEASE DO NOT RESPOND TO ME I DONT WANT A FLAME WAR.

 

[far9448]

All I can read from this is;

*math math math annoyed owl annoyed rando math math essay essay flame war essay about why he is wrong and more math*

 

[Chimerical]

Locked to prevent flaming wars or something.